Toondah Harbour could overtake Kangaroo Point as Queensland’s most crowded area.

Queensland’s leading area for population density will rise out of mudflats next to the Toondah Harbour ferry terminal if Walker Group’s plans for 3,600 apartments are approved by the Federal and State governments.

Population density, measured in people per square kilometre, is reported on regularly by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The most densely populated areas in Queensland, as at 30 June 2020, were:

  • Kangaroo Point with 7,700 people per square km
  • Fortitude Valley with 7,600 people per square km
  • West End with 7,100 people per square km

Comparable figures for urban areas in Redland City are much lower:

AreaPeople/Square km
Thorneside1,518
Birkdale1,344
Cleveland1,321
Wellington Point1,318
Ormiston1,263
Alexandra Hills1,238
Victoria Point1,157

Toondah Harbour’s projected population density

Plans for 3,600 apartments in the Toondah Harbour PDA would result in an expected population density of 10,200 people per square km.

With 3,600 apartments, proposed to be constructed in towers up to ten storeys, population density in the Toondah Harbour Priority Development area can be expected to exceed 10,200 people per square km.

The calculation is straightforward. Multiply the number of apartments (3,600) by estimated average occupancy (1.9 people) to get an estimated total population of 6,840. The assumed occupancy figure of 1.9 people per apartment is based on findings from Australia’s 2016 census, as reported by the ABS.

Then divide the estimated total population of 6,840 by the area of the Priority Development Area (67 hectares or 0.67 square kms) to get an estimated population density of 10,209 people per square km.

Toondah’s expected population density would be comparable with one of Melbourne’s top three areas, the South Yarra-East statistical area which currently charts at 10,100 people per square km. Other hot spots in Melbourne are Carlton (14,100 people per square km) and inner-city Melbourne with 22,400 people per square km.

Sydney’s areas with highest population density are Darlinghurst, Pyrmont-Ultimo and Potts Point-Woolloomoloo.

Population density of the proposed Toondah Harbour project compared with hot spots in each of NSW, Victoria and Queensland.
Population density of the Toondah Harbour project compared with hot spots in NSW, Victoria and Queensland

Population density hot spots examined

This gallery shows Google earth images of the three most densely populated areas in each of Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney. Google’s imagery is not updated in real time, so recently constructed buildings may not be shown.

  • Population desnity of 7,100 people per square km in West End, Brisbane
  • Population desnity of 7,600 people per square km in Fortitude Valley, Brisbane
  • Population density of 7,700 people per square km in Kangaroo Point, Brisbane
  • Population desnity of 10,100 people per square km in South Yarra - East, Melbourne
  • Population density of 14,100 people per square km in Carlton, Melbourne
  • Population density of 22,400 people per square km in inner-city Melbourne
  • Population density of 15,300 people per square km in Darlinghurst, Sydney
  • Population density of 16,500 people per square km in Pyrmont - Ultimo, Sydney
  • Population density of 16,700 people per sq km in Potts Point - Woolloomooloo,

Population density reporting by the ABS

The ABS calculates population density at local area levels known as Statistical Areas level 2 (SA2).

Here are SA2 maps for the three population hot spots in each of NSW, Victoria and Queensland.

The ABS publishes regional population data in an annual series. The most recent publication, Regional Population 2019/20 financial year, was released on 30 March 2021.

Redlands2030 – 5 April 2021

8 Comments

Marianne, Apr 08, 2021

The only thing we need at Toondah is decent ferry access, sufficient parking spaces (perhaps 1 level up), and a cafe where one can sit and enjoy the water front over a coffee or small meal.

Jackie Cooper, Apr 06, 2021

The more the truth comes out about the real impacts of a development at Toondah Harbour, the nuttier the prospect.
Did RCC ever do a lick of due diligence at the time it rashly entered into a contract to kill off the bay with 10,000 extra residents? Didn’t anyone reckon what the population density would be? On a peninsular site? Or the transport and traffic and parking implications? Clearly not.

Fred Viljoen, Apr 06, 2021

This density is crazy, we all know it. However, the mere fact that a developer such as Walker is prepared to invest in our foreshore shows us just how desirable is waterfront residential. There will be more Walkers waiting in the wings.
The developers and government all know this and will capitalise politically if allowed.
The Ramsar wetland protection accord is supposed to prevent this intervention, but will it? No! as Toondah will prove.
The Redlands Coast is the last remaining accessible waterfront for the greater Brisbane population, and as such should be developed with an integrated approach i.e. a balanced development between environment and built structure.
An integrated innovative all encompassing development plan must be produced in order to avoid future battles with potential developers and unscrupulous councillors and state/federal government. This plan will show how development can be achieved within the Ramsar wetland area in a balanced integrated manner. The Redlands will be a test case for such development and as such a model for other waterfront councils. What a feather in the Redlands cap?
This development will naturally include reasonable access to all bay islands and North Stradbroke.
What is needed now are some big innovative thinkers who are not prepared to fiddle while Rome burns!
As the Australian population grows more and more pressure will be applied to the densification of these underdeveloped areas with little regards to the environment. Control this densification now or never.

angela law, Apr 06, 2021

save the wetland ,stop the greed

Baz, Apr 05, 2021

Our Heritage ‘secured’ by Ramsar , Our environment future, Our International reputation, irreplaceable ecological framework,taken by Governments , GIVEN to a Company that pays NO TAX, irreversibly damaging Moreton Bay, FOR NO VALID REASON, is a disgraceful abuse of political power corrupting absolutely Our RIGHT to RETAIN OUR HERITAGE

Jenny cunnington, Apr 05, 2021

That really puts it in perspective doesn’t it. How on earth can the environment minister justify approval of this decimation of a supposedly protected wetland for a concrete mini city. Money and greed are the operatives.

Leanne, Apr 12, 2021

Apart from the total destruction of the wetlands and koala habitat, should this development go ahead, we can expect years of heavy traffic through Cleveland streets and years of construction noise. After that we will have at least 3600 extra cars on the road…what a sad future for Cleveland.

bobbishop, Apr 05, 2021

Australia has so much available land to be utilized for residential. We do not need or want to break population density records. Only one beneficiary ie the developer. Cut the density in half so we all benefit from a workable likable lifestyle. Wake up Australia !

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